Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.903862 1.134713 1.391095 1.694117 2.039660 2.418722 2.863267
2025-07-27 0.565319 0.854037 1.212962 1.678988 2.255281 2.932487 3.776113
2025-08-03 0.350723 0.648269 1.063525 1.652249 2.433305 3.404022 4.671083
2025-08-10 0.226177 0.516861 0.971511 1.669304 2.651632 3.928516 5.656090
2025-08-17 0.133676 0.393828 0.855714 1.624269 2.769425 4.320315 6.486202
2025-08-24 0.091049 0.338973 0.829361 1.698779 3.050080 4.934708 7.625420
2025-08-31 0.055080 0.275237 0.768581 1.704621 3.223434 5.404001 8.584252
2025-09-07 0.038319 0.248041 0.767578 1.804637 3.540101 6.082642 9.845296
2025-09-14 0.024553 0.217070 0.749470 1.869228 3.801425 6.688375 11.020752
2025-09-21 0.013996 0.183867 0.715893 1.898433 4.003726 7.211523 12.091807
2025-09-28 0.006157 0.145587 0.656445 1.867714 4.101183 7.578204 12.946975
2025-10-05 0.002821 0.123959 0.631959 1.900402 4.303446 8.105591 14.041376
2025-10-12 0.000927 0.102768 0.601776 1.919413 4.487199 8.618026 15.139211
2025-10-19 0.000091 0.077509 0.546167 1.874491 4.553746 8.950061 15.981942
2025-10-26 NaN 0.057486 0.495764 1.831403 4.617872 9.277646 16.823799
2025-11-02 NaN 0.045859 0.470462 1.842418 4.780667 9.765711 17.914161
2025-11-09 NaN 0.032194 0.423488 1.790568 4.818618 10.050274 18.701544
2025-11-16 NaN 0.028661 0.426555 1.868289 5.110653 10.758064 20.144668
2025-11-23 NaN 0.021959 0.404146 1.873547 5.258820 11.230256 21.234525
2025-11-30 NaN 0.020726 0.417456 1.979693 5.613285 12.054504 22.879120
2025-12-07 NaN 0.018046 0.417692 2.048232 5.893810 12.759840 24.349788
2025-12-14 NaN 0.014420 0.405724 2.079187 6.098028 13.339898 25.634035
2025-12-21 NaN 0.009724 0.374447 2.046411 6.167158 13.690162 26.563974